U.S. presidential election uncertainty escalates and Trump trade

U.S. presidential election uncertainty escalates and Trump trade

U.S. presidential election uncertainty is growing. Democratic Party members have increased support for Harris after Biden's resignation, and Harris currently has a 1.5 percentage point advantage over Trump according to opinion polls. In addition, Harris' competition along the coast of five major lakes, including Wisconsin and Michigan, will also shift to Harris' advantage, and betting companies say Harris is highly likely to win the election with a 6:4 ratio. The number of electors will also increase to 276:246

However, as the U.S. stock market closes today, the possibility of the third candidate, Kennedy, stepping down is highlighted. In particular, with the news that he is considering supporting Trump, Trump said that Kennedy will take over the Trump administration. Meanwhile, as shown in the poll that Kennedy supports Republicans (+11) but is negative for Democrats (-38), Kennedy's resignation is positive for Trump.

However, as support for Harris is still expanding and Harris' approval rating is increasing, especially in the Rust and Sun Belt regions, it is impossible to predict who will have the upper hand right away. For the time being, we are paying attention to the results of polls in Pennsylvania along with national approval ratings. In Harris' case, if she fails to win Pennsylvania, which has 19 votes, she is likely to lose to Trump in the total number of electors

In the meantime, when reports of Kennedy's resignation came out, betting companies succeeded in reversing the possibility of Trump's election to 50% and Harris to 48%. In addition, in the financial market, the decline in the interest rate on U.S. government bonds began to shrink in the second half of the market, and the dollar also weakened. Of course, the U.S. stock market is also sold and Bitcoin tends to rise. Therefore, it should be noted whether there is a possibility of a recently weakened Trump trade



제프리 슈밋 캔자스시티 연은 총재: 노동 시장의 둔화 조짐이 보이기 시작했으나 고노고의 말 대로 호들갑 떨 정도는 아니다.  

최근 2~3 개월 간의 인플레 데이터들도 제법 긍정적이다.

연준이 2% 목표 도달까지 기다리기 보다는 조금 앞선 대응이 필요하지 않을까 생각한다.

2 billion won in alimony.
The Seoul Family Court ruled that the price of heartache and pain suffered by Roh So-young due to Chey Tae-won and Kim Hee-won's cheating was 2 billion won.

The pain caused by the spouse's affair and divorce is indescribable.

Although it seems heartless to calculate the pain with money, it is very difficult to compensate in a way other than money under the Korean legislation.
In the end, compensation for damages has no choice but to be judged by money.

Are the rich more likely to suffer from their spouse's infidelity and divorce?

I don't think so.

Rather, the rich have a variety of means to reduce the pain, so there is a possibility that the pain will be smaller.
Rich people have little difficulty even if they divorce and live alone, but poor women may have to stay married because they are concerned about poor life after divorce.

In a lawsuit for compensation for damages caused by spouse's affair
In general, alimony is judged to be around 20 million won.

However, the 4th part of the lyrics ruled that the amount of pain Noh So-young felt was 100 times that of ordinary women.

I wonder what the logic of part 4 of the lyrics is.